Empirical Prediction and Predictability of Dry and Wet Spells of the Indian Summer Monsoon
نویسندگان
چکیده
Prediction of the active (rainy) and break (dry) phases of the Indian summer monsoon intraseasonal oscillations (ISO’s) two to threeweeks in advance is of great importance for food production and water management of the country, but is currently unavailable. Potential predictability inherent in the quasi-periodic nature of the monsoon ISO’s is estimated from daily rainfall and circulation data for 23 years. The monsoon breaks are potentially more predictable than the active conditions with perdictability limit of about 20 days for breaks compared to 10 days for
منابع مشابه
Extension of potential predictability of Indian summer monsoon dry and wet spells in recent decades
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